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713 S Lee Street Old - Town Alexandria

Kristie Zimmerman

The Impact of the Job Market on the Housing Market

Being unemployed, under-employed, or afraid of losing a job is never easy. One of the first things many people do in these situations is batten down the hatches and minimize their spending. Certainly, the last thing on their minds is making a major purchase like a house. It’s just not a commitment that most people are willing to make when they lack confidence in their financial stability.

Although such decisions are made based on an individual’s job prospects, they have a ripple effect that impacts the broader economy, including the housing industry. Here are three key points that shed light on specific ways that the labor market influences the housing market.

Home Prices: A more secure employment market can help home prices stabilize, as fewer people are at risk of losing their homes to foreclosure. In addition, improvements in the labor market often open the door for more first-time homebuyers to join the ranks of homeowners. This can eventually help home prices improve.

Home Size: If you are running a business and need to hire someone, during a good healthy labor market you may need to entice your top pick. How will you do that? Perhaps by paying them a competitive salary. And when someone is paid a good salary, one of the things they often think about doing is purchasing a larger home.

Home Location: When the labor market is thriving, an employer may even have to lure in people who live outside the local area to take a job. This is one of the reasons housing markets are so localized. One state, city, or community might have a much better job market than a neighboring one. That’s why it’s very important to understand the labor
situation in your own state and city in order to really get a feel for the health of the housing market there.

The bottom line to remember in 2012 is that all real estate markets are local…and that means that there can be enormous variations across the country. In areas where employment is struggling, the housing market may continue to struggle as well. But employment is improving in many parts of the country, which also means the housing market in those areas will follow suit.

If you have any questions about your situation or the housing market in the area where you live, contact me if I can be of any help.

Fairfax, VA – FHA lenders had reason for cheer and mirth at the end of last week. “In an effort to continue stabilizing home values and improve conditions in communities experiencing high foreclosure activity, Acting FHA Commissioner Carol Galante will extend FHA’s temporary waiver of the anti-flipping regulations.” With certain exceptions, FHA regulations prohibit insuring a mortgage on a home owned by the seller for less than 90 days, but this rule is waived through December 31, 2012, unless otherwise extended or withdrawn by FHA.  “All other terms of the existing Waiver will remain the same.  The Waiver contains strict conditions and guidelines to prevent the predatory practice of property flipping, in which properties are quickly resold at inflated prices to unsuspecting borrowers.  The Waiver continues to be limited to sales meeting the following conditions: All transactions must be arms-length, with no identity of interest between the buyer and seller or other parties participating in the sales transaction. In cases in which the sales price of the property is 20 percent or more above the seller’s acquisition cost, the Waiver will only apply if the lender meets specific conditions and documents the justification for the increase in value. The Waiver is limited to forward mortgages, and does not apply to the Home Equity Conversion Mortgage (HECM) for purchase program.

Effective Friday, November 18, FHA has raised loan limits to $729,750.

Fairfax, VA – You can check individual counties for limits using this link:

 FHA Loan Limits

Fannie & Freddie’s loan limits remain at $625,500!

FHA requires 3.5% down with a higher loan limit.

Conventional loans, 5% down with a lower loan limit.

Does this make sense to you?  I guess nothing makes sense these days but we think that Fannie and Freddie may very likely follow FHA.  Waiting for the President to sign.

 The new FHA limits are effective through 2013.

Fairfax, VA – When was the last government shutdown? 1995 was the year. What happened? It was very painful to get through, but no one panicked. And we shouldn’t panic this time. I can assure you 1st Commonwealth Bank of Virginia has prepared all of the loans in our pipeline and we preparing for a worst case scenario, so the disruption will be minimal. If a shutdown would occur, these would be the top six areas that can affect us during a government shutdown:  

FHA Case Numbers: For each FHA loan, we are required to order a FHA case number.
This number is generated before an appraisal can even be ordered. With a shutdown, we may not be able to order case numbers. Because of this, it is critical to let us know if there is a contract executed on any loan, so that our office can go ahead and order a case number without risking the loan being on hold during a shutdown. Note: with the new FHA guidelines, a contract must be executed before a case number can be ordered.

(The ability to close FHA loans is questionable, depending if HUD keeps its website running to obtain FHA case numbers and CAIVRS (During the November 1995 shutdown, case numbers could not be obtained, but this was prior to the internet and was a manual process). The shutdown in 1995 mainly caused a delay rather than a drop in FHA loan origination, but if lenders decide to stop accepting FHA applications, it could be a problem. I think we will see delays but not a complete shutdown of the FHA.)
 
4506 IRS Transcripts: Each loan requires the verification of at least one Federal tax return by the IRS to verify the financial numbers that each customer presents us on their tax returns. During a shutdown, this process would be delayed as the IRS wouldn’t be at work to verify the transcripts. (This might be a minimal delay, since the internet / phone fax is used to order tax transcripts.)

Verifying Employment (VOE) of a Government Employee: We are required to verify the employment of each customer. If the customer is a federal government employee, we might not be unable to verify his or her employment during a shutdown. (Again some VOE’s are ordered via the internet, we are not sure if there would be a delay in receiving VOE’s)

FEMA: Homes in a Flood Zone: Homes that are determined to be in a flood zone would not be able to close as flood insurance could not be obtained.

USDA: During a shutdown, the USDA office would be closed because they have government underwriters that insure behind the lender.  With a shutdown, we would see delays with all USDA loans.

VA: Like the FHA, the disruption is possible — but not absolute — during a shutdown. This would all depend on if they continued to allow their website to function. A disruption would cause delays in VA appraisals and the issuing of certificates of eligibility.  If the website was closed during a shutdown, we would see delays in all VA loans.

Fairfax, VA – When the property in question is an FHA flip. Seller has been on title for less than 90 days.

If the sales price is 20% or more above seller’s acquisition cost and the increase in value is due to improvements/renovation to the property: 

1. The appraiser is required to verify the repairs or work to the property in order to substantiate the increase in value.
 
2. The seller must supply a list of improvements made to the property and the appraiser adds the list to the appraisal along with comments to justify the increase.

3. Before and after pictures are welcome.

4. Although not required on FHA flips, most lenders will automatically order a second appraisal to help justify the value.

If the appraiser cannot warrant that legitimate work was done to the property to substantiate the increase in value:

1. Then a second appraisal will be required.
  
2. This part could cause issues: The lower of the two appraisals will be used for the appraised value.

3.  A second appraisal will be required.

If the increase in value is not due to any significant improvements:

1. The appraiser will be required to provide explanations for the increase in
property value.

2. The appraiser must provide sales comparables to support that value increase since the prior title transfer.

3. OR, if the appraiser cannot justify the increase in value, a second appraisal will be required.

4. The lower of the two appraisal values will be used for the appraised value.

FHA Refinance Changes

Fairfax, Virginia: With Mortgagee Letter 11-11, FHA announces changes to refinance transactions. This ML provides guidance on the changes as well as clarification on existing refinance guides and it will be worthwhile to read this ML in its entirety as a refresher.

Here are the 8 things you need to know about these clarifications and changes:

1. Borrower must be current on their mortgage for the month of closing AND the month prior to closing (The payment due the month of closing CAN be included in the payoff).

2. Second liens must be subordinated to the new FHA first in their entirety.

3. For all case numbers on investment property refinances assigned on or after April 15^th, 2011, the borrower must have occupied the subject property for the last 12 months to qualify for maximum streamline financing; if less than 12 months, a full credit-qualifying qualifying regular refinance is required with a maximum LTV of 85%.

4. Effective no later than April 15^th, 2011, the following net tangible benefit scenarios must exist on all streamline refinances in Fairfax, Virginia, Vienna, Virginia and the surrounding northern Virginia area.  A. The total of the new P&I and MI portion of the payment must decrease by at least 5% OR B. Refinancing from an ARM to a fixed product (See chart in ML).

5. Effective no later than April 15^th, 2011, lenders may now use the short Uniform Residential Loan Application (URLA) (standard loan application) for non-credit qualifying streamline refinances ONLY.

6. Effective no later than April 15^th, 2011, lenders no longer have to certify (verify) employment and income on streamline refinances.

7. TOTAL Scorecard (FHA underwriting system) must not be used for streamline refinances

8. Borrowers or Lenders CANNOT add closing costs, discount points, prepaids or other costs to the loan balance on non-credit-qualifying streamline refinances.  Lenders CAN add closing costs and prepaids (not discount points) ONLY through a full-credit-qualifying streamline WITH an appraisal. In other words, if you want to roll in closing costs, you must provide all income and credit documents to your loan officer.

Fairfax, VA –  This summer has brought some of the best home loan rates on record. If you’ve been wondering whether you could benefit from today’s low rate environment, read on. There are two programs that may help you.

What about My Home’s Value?
Not only were home loan rates at their lowest in August, we also learned last month that home prices continued to climb nationally since reaching a bottom in the first quarter of 2009. According to the S&P/Case-Schiller Index, home prices in both their 10 and 20 cities composite have increased 16 straight months.

While it’s great news that values have risen over the last year, there is concern that the increases are decelerating and that price declines are on the horizon in 2011.

So, even though your property may not be worth what it was at the peak of the market, the odds are great that its value has increased since bottoming out last year. That increase could be enough to help you get that loan program and rate you want. For some though, even with that increase, your home’s value may still be lower than what you thought you needed to get a new loan.

Why Wait?
Why have some people waited to or chosen not to refinance? One reason is the value of their home. As home values have fallen in the past few years, many homeowners believe that obtaining new financing, especially without substantial new costs or private mortgage insurance (PMI), is impossible. For a lot of homeowners though, this is not the case.

FHA Streamline Refinance:
If the existing home loan you have is one that was guaranteed by the FHA, you may be able to refinance without an appraisal, even if the value of your home is less than what you currently owe on your loan.

With an FHA Streamline Refinance, homeowners can refinance their existing FHA loan without an appraisal and in many cases, also with reduced documentation requirements. This can bring a lot of relief to someone’s interest rate and mortgage payment without much fuss.

In doing an FHA Streamline Refinance without an appraisal, you can refinance your loan but you may have to bring some money to the closing table. Closing costs may not be added to your existing loan when an appraisal is not required. In a lot of situations, the amount required will be similar to a normal monthly mortgage payment.

If you do not have the funds available to cover all the costs, you may be able to work with your lender to have them cover a portion of or all of your closing costs by choosing an interest rate that is a little higher than market rate.

You may want to move quickly though. In October, HUD is changing the rules in upfront and monthly mortgage insurance that could increase your payment. On a $200,000 loan, the difference in monthly payment based on the changes could increase by $75.

Home Affordable Refinance:
If your loan is owned by either Freddie Mac or Fannie Mae, you may be able to refinance, even if the new loan amount is as high as 125% of the present value of your home. The 125% option may not be available by your lender but financing to 105% of the value of the home is widely available.

If the mortgage you have today does not have mortgage insurance, you could be eligible for a new loan without mortgage insurance, even though the new loan doesn’t have a 20% equity position. This is great news!

To find out if your loan is owned by either Freddie Mac or Fannie Mae, go to http://makinghomeaffordable.gov

Once in a Lifetime Opportunity
Home loan rates have never been lower. Long-term interest rates have never been lower.

With rates as low as they are today, many options exist. Depending on your needs, opportunity exists to either save a lot of money in your monthly payment, over the life of your loan, or both. Many people have recently chosen to refinance into shorter terms – 10, 15, or 20 years – in some cases bringing a large principal reduction payment to closing to get the loan they want.

Whatever your personal situation is, the best thing you can do is to investigate your options. It has been reported that the average rate in effect for all mortgages today exceeds 6.00%. If you or someone you know is currently in this situation, you owe it to yourself to see how you can save today.

Fairfax, VA – The House of Representatives approved the Federal Housing Administration Reform Act.   The purpose of FHAR is to bring stability to the FHA lending program. Currently, FHA loans make up about 30 percent of the loans originated in the US. This is a far cry from early to mid 2000’s when real estate agents frowned on any government loan of any type.
 
The FHAR Act is a two-step process which was designed to shore up the crumbling foundation of FHA’s capital reserve account.  The first step to increasing the reserve account occurred in April of 2010 as the up-front MIP (mortgage insurance premium) premiums collected from the borrower was increased from 1.75 percent to 2.25 percent of the loan amount.  But the bigger plan was for FHA to increase the monthly mortgage insurance premium which is currently .55 percent for purchase loans with less than 5 percent down payment or refinance loans with at least 5 percent equity to .50% for homes or loans with at least 5 percent or more equity.  Under the law passed today, the agency will be allowed to increase its annual premium to 1.55 percent of the unpaid balance of the loan. The change or increase is expected to be a two part process. The first change is expected to increase annual MIP to from .55 percent to between .85 percent and .90 percent, then increase the annual MIP to the full 1.55 percent later in the year.  The thought from FHA and Capital Hill is that the increase in the annual MIP will allow for FHA’s capital reserves to increase, but with less impact to the consumer since the annual MIP is paid over the life of the loan instead of a lump sum addition to the loan amount at the time of closing. But this is incorrect.

The FHA reserves were getting hammered by homes going into foreclosure or just plain scammers at work with straw buyers or however mortgage fraud is perpetrated.  This is fact. What I am not sure is taken into account is the effect of the higher monthly mortgage insurance will have on the home buying public. How can tripling the monthly mortgage insurance have no impact to the consumer or to the nation’s housing market?  I read a Freddie Mac article in the early 1990’s that stated for every .25 percent increase in interest rates 250,000 home buyers are priced out of the market. To show this is not true see the example below. Using a $300,000 loan amount as the example, the numbers don’t look good for home buyers after September 7^th.   This date can change, call me if you have any questions.